Background: The prognosis for patients with middle and lower third bile duc
t carcinoma remains poor. This study was conducted to identify independent
predictors for survival, as well as the patterns of recurrence after curati
ve resection.
Methods: Sixty-seven patients with pathologically verified middle and/or lo
wer third bile duct carcinoma were analysed retrospectively by Cox regressi
on analysis for predictors of survival.
Results: The overall 5-year survival rate after resection was 39 per cent,
and 0 per cent for patients who did not undergo resection. The 5-year survi
val rate was 63 per cent in 26 patients without microscopic residual diseas
e (R-0), 16 per cent in 25 patients with microscopic residual tumour (R-1)
and 0 per cent in six patients with macroscopic residual tumour (R-2); ten
patients did not undergo resection. Radiotherapy improved the 5-year surviv
al rate in eight patients who had R-1 resection compared with the rate in 1
7 patients who underwent resection alone (8 versus 0), but not significantl
y so (P = 0.137); however, median survival was significantly longer (P = 0.
004) in six patients who had R-2 resection compared with that in ten inoper
able patients (11.4 versus 3.5 months). Multivariate analysis revealed that
the primary tumour and tumour node metastasis (TNM) stage were independent
predictors of survival; 13 clinicopathological factors were not independen
t prognostic factors. Of 26 patients having R-0 resection, one had a locore
gional relapse only, six had distant metastases only, and five had both typ
es of recurrence. The liver was the most frequent site for metastasis, and
microscopic venous invasion (MVI) in the primary tumour was a significant p
redictor of liver metastasis.
Conclusion: Curative (R-0) resection is only one step in curing cancer, and
radiotherapy may play a beneficial role in controlling locoregional residu
al tumour. MVI could be a useful indicator of when systemic adjuvant therap
y should be implemented to prevent liver metastasis after R-0 resection, al
though no effective systemic treatment has yet been developed.