A new approach to polymer pyrolysis kinetics is based on moments of a popul
ation balance equation describing chain-end and random scission and repolym
erization. Two equations for the zero and first moments (moles and mass) ar
e solved for isothermal and nonisothermal (linear T increase) thermogravime
tric analysis. The isothermal case is shown to have a simple relationship t
o an empirical acceleratory model, thus revealing its limitations and appro
ximations. With realistic values of prefactors and activation energies, the
new theory compares well with experimental data for polyether-ether-ketone
pyrolysis. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.