On long-term predictions of the maximum sunspot numbers of solar cycles 21to 23

Citation
Kj. Li et al., On long-term predictions of the maximum sunspot numbers of solar cycles 21to 23, ASTRON ASTR, 368(1), 2001, pp. 285-291
Citations number
96
Categorie Soggetti
Space Sciences
Journal title
ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS
ISSN journal
00046361 → ACNP
Volume
368
Issue
1
Year of publication
2001
Pages
285 - 291
Database
ISI
SICI code
0004-6361(200103)368:1<285:OLPOTM>2.0.ZU;2-M
Abstract
We have collected a set of predicted values of maximum sunspot numbers of s olar cycles 22 and 23 published in the literature and examined the characte ristics of predictions made by various methods. The precursor methods are f ound to be always superior to other prediction methods. The maximum sunspot number of solar cycle 23 is here inferred to be about 162.