Positive feedback between future climate change and the carbon cycle

Citation
P. Friedlingstein et al., Positive feedback between future climate change and the carbon cycle, GEOPHYS R L, 28(8), 2001, pp. 1543-1546
Citations number
19
Categorie Soggetti
Earth Sciences
Journal title
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN journal
00948276 → ACNP
Volume
28
Issue
8
Year of publication
2001
Pages
1543 - 1546
Database
ISI
SICI code
0094-8276(20010415)28:8<1543:PFBFCC>2.0.ZU;2-N
Abstract
Future climate change due to increased atmospheric CO2 may affect land and ocean efficiency to absorb atmospheric CO2. Here, using climate and carbon three-dimensional models forced by a 1% per year increase in atmospheric CO 2, we show that there is a positive feedback between the climate system and the carbon cycle. Climate change reduces land and ocean uptake of CO2, res pectively by 54% and 35% at 4 x CO2. This negative impact implies that for prescribed anthropogenic CO2 emissions, the atmospheric CO2 would be higher than the level reached if climate change does not affect the carbon cycle. We estimate the gain of this climate-carbon cycle feedback to be 10% at 2 x CO2 and 20% at 4 x CO2. This translates into a 15% higher mean temperatur e increase.