F. Steinkamp, Does precognition foresee the future? Series 2, a laboratory replication and series 3, a World Wide Web replication, J PARAPSYCH, 65(1), 2001, pp. 17-40
An earlier postal experiment by Steinkamp (2000) examined whether true prec
ognition was possible by comparing 2 conditions. In the clairvoyance condit
ion, targets were selected by a pseudorandom number generator before partic
ipants did the trials at home; in the true precognition condition, targets
were selected using an algorithm on prespecified stock market and temperatu
re figures on a prespecified future date. It was thought unlikely that part
icipants could use either psychokinesis or other real-time psi to perform s
uccessfully in the true precognition condition. Results were significant in
the clairvoyance condition (p = .04, one-tailed) and only at chance in the
true precognition one. The difference in performance between the 2 conditi
ons was significant (p = .01, one-tailed). This article presents 2 replicat
ion studies using different settings. The Ist, in the laboratory, gave almo
st significantly high scores in the precognition condition (p = .06, two-ta
iled) but only chance scores in the clairvoyance condition, with no signifi
cant difference between the 2 conditions. The 2nd, conducted over the World
Wide Web, produced scores tending toward psi missing in the precognition c
ondition (p = .08, two-tailed), chance scores in the clairvoyance condition
, and an almost significant difference between the 2 conditions (p = .07, t
wo-tailed). Differences are discussed.