OBJECTIVE: To determine the effectiveness of a voluntary human immunodefici
ency virus (HIV) screening program in pregnancy.
STUDY DESIGN: Using a business decision theory analysis model, we estimated
the outcomes and costs of the two possible decisions by our patients (test
/no test). Patients with a positive HIV screen would undergo evaluation and
possible prophylactic antiviral therapy. The model was utilized to evaluat
e the Naval Medical Center San Diego Program from 1995-1997.
RESULTS: Prevalence of HIV in active duty Navy personnel during the years e
valuated were 1995, 0.024%; 1996, 0.028%; and 1997, 0.022%. Patients screen
ed for HIV during these years were 1995, 3,874; 1996, 3,924; and 1997, 4,12
7 (n = 11,925). Incidence of HIV seroprevalence in patients screened during
the study period was zero. The number of patients declining HIV screening
tons: 1995, 10; 1996, 8; and 2997, 5, During the same period, reported HIV
seroprevalence among pregnant patients in the United States was 1.5/1,000.
CONCLUSION: HIV seroprevalence in our pregnant population (zero) was lower
than expected, considering the national pregnancy prevalence and Navy preva
lence. The expected number of cases of positive HIV screens tons 17.8. The
cost of the program for the study period was $103,748. The cost of care for
one positive neonate ranges between $100,000 and $200,000.