The aims of this study were to determine the magnitude of the increase in r
isk of further fracture following hospitalization for vertebral fracture, a
nd in particular to determine the time course of this risk. The records of
the Swedish Patient Register were examined from 1987 to 1994 to identify al
l patients who were admitted to hospital for thoracic or lumbar vertebral f
ractures. Vertebral fractures were characterized as due to high- or low-ene
rgy trauma. Patients were followed for subsequent hospitalizations for hip
fracture, and for all fractures combined. A Poisson model was used to deter
mine the absolute risk of subsequent nonvertebral fracture and compared wit
h that of the general population. We analyzed 13.4 million hospital admissi
ons from which 28 869 individuals with vertebral fracture were identified,
of which 60% were associated with low-energy trauma. There was a marked inc
rease in subsequent incidence of hip and all fractures within the first yea
r following hospitalization for vertebral fracture in both men and women. T
hereafter, fracture incidence declined toward, but did not attain, baseline
risk. Increased risks were particularly marked in the young. The increase
in fracture risk was more marked following low-energy vertebral fracture th
an in the case of high-energy trauma. We conclude that the high incidence o
f new fractures within a year of hospitalization for vertebral fractures, i
rrespective of the degree of trauma involved, indicates that such patients
should be preferentially targeted for treatment. It is speculated that shor
t courses of treatment at the time of first vertebral fracture could provid
e important therapeutic dividends.