Rg. Derwent et al., Transient behaviour of tropospheric ozone precursors in a global 3-D CTM and their indirect greenhouse effects, CLIM CHANGE, 49(4), 2001, pp. 463-487
The global three-dimensional Lagrangian chemistry-transport model STOCHEM h
as been used to follow the changes in the tropospheric distributions of the
two major radiatively-active trace gases, methane and tropospheric ozone,
following the emission of pulses of the short-lived tropospheric ozone prec
ursor species, methane, carbon monoxide, NOx and hydrogen. The radiative im
pacts of NOx emissions were dependent on the location chosen for the emissi
on pulse, whether at the surface or in the upper troposphere or whether in
the northern or southern hemispheres. Global warming potentials were derive
d for each of the short-lived tropospheric ozone precursor species by integ
rating the methane and tropospheric ozone responses over a 100 year time ho
rizon. Indirect radiative forcing due to methane and tropospheric ozone cha
nges appear to be significant for all of the tropospheric ozone precursor s
pecies studied. Whereas the radiative forcing from methane changes is likel
y to be dominated by methane emissions, that from tropospheric ozone change
s is controlled by all the tropospheric ozone precursor gases, particularly
NOx emissions. The indirect radiative forcing impacts of tropospheric ozon
e changes may be large enough such that ozone precursors should be consider
ed in the basket of trace gases through which policy-makers aim to combat g
lobal climate change.