Punishment strategics are necessary to sustain a collusive oligopsony in a
repeated game context when demand is uncertain and only market variables ar
e observable This article proposes a test for tacit collusion among potato
processors in Washington state using a dynamic regime-switching model estim
ated with a finite mixture method. The results support tile existence of pu
nishment and collusive regimes and show the welfare losses due to anti-comp
etitive behavior on the part of processors to be significant. Processors' o
ligopsony power is enhanced by higher domestic production, imports, and exi
sting stocks, but it is ameliorated by high capacity utilization rates and
exports.