Optimal sequential allocation with imperfect feedback information

Citation
Ctc. Mo et al., Optimal sequential allocation with imperfect feedback information, J APPL PROB, 38(1), 2001, pp. 248-254
Citations number
6
Categorie Soggetti
Mathematics
Journal title
JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY
ISSN journal
00219002 → ACNP
Volume
38
Issue
1
Year of publication
2001
Pages
248 - 254
Database
ISI
SICI code
0021-9002(200103)38:1<248:OSAWIF>2.0.ZU;2-X
Abstract
A given number of bullets will be fired sequentially in an attempt to destr oy as many targets as possible from a fixed number of targets. The probabil ity of destroying a target at each shot is known. After each shot, there is a report on the state for the target; destroyed or intact. The reports are subject to the usual two types of errors and the probabilities of making t hese errors are also known. This paper shows that the myopic decision strat egy that picks the next target to be the one with the highest intact poster ior probability is the optimal strategy.