Many studies have been carried out in the past to provide solutions to the
threat of chemicals to the ecosystem. However, the basic scientific capabil
ity to predict the risk of adverse effects on the ecological system has not
kept pace with society's increasing demand for uses of chemicals. As a sci
entific methodology for quantifying the risk to the environment associated
with exposure to chemicals, ecological risk assessment is increasingly impo
rtant in environmental problem solving. The purpose of this paper is to pre
sent a methodology for conducting ecological risk assessment using determin
istic and probabilistic approaches. A systematic discussion on elements of
ecological risk assessment is presented. A framework of ecological risk ass
essment is explained with the help of the Persian Gulf environmental proble
m as a case study. The study was based on the output of a long-range transp
ort model of soot deposition in the Gulf. Results of the assessment using t
he deterministic and probabilistic approaches are discussed. (C) 2001 Elsev
ier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.