The paper predicts two possible outcomes of China's accession to the WTO. I
f this stimulates the initiation of a real constitutional negotiation among
different interest groups in China, then China's WTO membership will benef
it China as a whole in a profound way. If the ruling party can successfully
block the initiation of the constitutional negotiation and carry out a new
dual track approach in implementing WTO game rules, then China as a whole
may suffer from its WTO membership. The dual track approach may exacerbate
inefficient inequality of income distribution, further institutionalise sta
te opportunism and corruption, lower moral standards, and increase social t
ension that destabilizes China's political system. (C) 2001 Elsevier Scienc
e Inc. All rights reserved.