Several wound healing rate measures have been introduced with the main goal
of enabling quantification of the effects of various therapeutic modalitie
s on the healing of open wounds. Different definitions of wound healing rat
e render comparison of clinical results difficult. The goal of the present
study was to propose a measure of wound healing rate that is independent of
initial wound extent and to present a method of wound healing rate predict
ion. Comparisons were made of wound healing rate defined as absolute area h
ealed per day, percentage of initial area healed per day and advance of the
wound margin towards the wound centre per day. Analysis was performed on 3
00 wound cases. A disadvantage of wound healing measures that either use ab
solute area healed per day or percentage of initial area healed per day is
their very limited use for comparing healing rates of wounds with different
initial sizes. This disadvantage was overcome by incorporating a wound per
imeter; thus obtaining a measure of the advance of the wound margin towards
the wound centre. A definition of healing rate expressed as the greatest a
verage wound margin distance from the wound centre divided by the time to c
omplete wound closure is proposed. Because not all wounds are closed in the
observation period, the time to complete wound closure has to be predicted
. A method of wound healing rate prediction is presented based on a delayed
exponential model the parameters of which are obtained from at least five
weekly wound area measurements. Paired t-tests between actual time needed t
o complete wound closure and the predicted time resulted in p = 0.062 after
four, 0.484 after five and 0.900 after six weeks of observation.