This paper investigates the impact of the Medicare principal inpatient diag
nostic cost group (PIP-DCG) payment model on the Program of All-Inclusive C
al e for the Elderly (PACE). Currently, more than 6,000 Medicare beneficiar
ies who are nursing home certifiable receive care from PACE, a program pois
ed for expansion under the Balanced Budget Act of 1997. Overall, our analys
is suggests that the application of the PIP-DCG model to the PACE program w
ould reduce Medicare payments to PACE, on average, by 38%. The PIP-DCG paym
ent model bases its risk adjustment on inpatient diagnoses and does not cap
ture adequately the risk of caring for a population with functional impairm
ents.