Sources and implications of uncertainty for coastal managers

Citation
Jw. Hall et Jp. Davis, Sources and implications of uncertainty for coastal managers, J CHART I W, 15(2), 2001, pp. 103-108
Citations number
22
Categorie Soggetti
Environment/Ecology
Journal title
JOURNAL OF THE CHARTERED INSTITUTION OF WATER AND ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
ISSN journal
13604015 → ACNP
Volume
15
Issue
2
Year of publication
2001
Pages
103 - 108
Database
ISI
SICI code
1360-4015(200105)15:2<103:SAIOUF>2.0.ZU;2-L
Abstract
This study included semi-structured interviews with eight practitioners who have key roles in UK coastal management. Data from the interviews were ana lysed using 'grounded theory', which established that sources of uncertaint y in decision making are diverse but can be categorised as being modelling issues, values issues, communication and 'externalities'. At present, intui tive and implicit methods of taking uncertainty into account in decision ma king are much more prevalent than explicit methods. By identifying sources and implications of uncertainty, coastal managers will be in a stronger pos ition to promote resilient systems that can cope with changing natural and social conditions.