Poplars (genus Populus) have emerged as a model organism for forest biotech
nology, and genetic modification (GM: asexual gene transfer) is more advanc
ed for this genus than for any other tree. The goal of this paper is to con
sider the benefits expected from the use of GM poplar trees, and the most s
ignificant claims made for environmental harm, by comparing them to impacts
and uncertainties that are generally accepted as part of intensive tree cu
lture. We focus on the four traits with greatest commercialization potentia
l in the near term: wood modification, herbicide tolerance, insect resistan
ce, and flowering control. After field trials and selection of the top perf
orming trees, similar to that during conventional poplar breeding, GM popla
rs appear vigorous and express their new traits reliably. The ecological is
sues expected from use of GM poplars appear similar in scope to those manag
ed routinely during conventional plantation culture, which includes the use
of exotic and hybrid genotypes, short rotations, intensive weed control, f
ertilization, and density control. The single-gene traits under considerati
on for commercial use are unlikely to cause a significant expansion in ecol
ogical niche, and thus to substantially alter poplar's ability to "invade"
wild populations. We conclude that the ecological risks posed by GM poplars
are similar in magnitude, though not in detail, to those of routine poplar
culture. We also argue that the tangible economic and environmental benefi
ts of GM poplars for some uses warrant their near-term adoption-if coupled
with adaptive research and monitoring-so that their economic and ecological
benefits, and safety, can be studied on commercially and ecologically rele
vant scales. We believe that the growing demand for both wood products and
ecological services of forests justifies vigorous efforts to increase wood
production on land socially zoned for tree agriculture, plantations, or hor
ticulture. This is the key reason for poplar biotechnology: the combination
of economic efficiency with reduction of farm and forestry impact on the l
andscape.