In the cold forging industry, the tooling makes an important contribution t
o the cost price of the forged pieces. Predicting the degradation of the to
ols would constitute a significant advantage. A possible definition of tool
life is when the roughness parameters of the formed pieces exceed fixed cr
iteria, at which point the tool must be replaced or polished. In order to q
uantify the surface integrity of the tool, a new methodology of analysis ha
s been developed by measuring the roughness of the formed piece. The upsett
ing sliding test is used to reproduce the contact conditions of the studied
process in the laboratory. It allows quantification of the scatter in the
friction coefficients caused by wear, and observations of the formed pieces
and the wear of the tool surface. An industrial application using the AISI
M2 tool steel is studied. It is shown that the tool wear can be predicted
by measuring the roughness parameters of the workpiece. The application of
the methodology allows the lifetime of the tool to be predicted before form
ing any workpiece.