Background. There is a paucity of long-term outcome studies of panic disord
er that exceed a 2-year follow-up. The aim of the study was to evaluate the
long-term follow-up of patients with panic disorder with agoraphobia treat
ed according to a standardized protocol.
Methods. A consecutive series of 200 patients satisfying the DSM-IV criteri
a for panic disorder with agoraphobia was treated in an out-patient clinic
with behavioural methods based on exposure homework. One hu nd red and thir
ty-six patients became panic free after 12 sessions of psychotherapy and 13
2 were available for follow-up. A 2- to 14-year (median = 8 years) follow-u
p was performed. Survival analysis was employed to characterize the clinica
l course of patients.
Results. Thirty-one of the 132 patients (23 %) had a relapse of panic disor
der at some time during follow-up. The estimated cumulative percentage of p
atients remaining in remission was 93(.)1 after 2 years. 82(.)4 after 5 yea
rs. 78(.)8 after 7 years and 62(.)1 after 10 years Such probabilities incre
ased with younger age, and in the absence of a personality disorder, of hig
h pre-treatment levels of depressed mood, of residual agoraphobic avoidance
after exposure, and of concurrent use of benzodiazepines and antidepressan
t drugs.
Conclusions. The findings suggest that exposure treatment can provide lasti
ng relief to the majority of patients with panic disorder and agoraphobia.
Disappearance of residual and subclinical agoraphobic avoidance, and not si
mply of panic attacks, should be the aim of exposure therapy.