Lan. Amaral et al., Application of statistical physics methods and concepts to the study of science & technology systems, SCIENTOMETR, 51(1), 2001, pp. 9-36
We apply methods and concepts of statistical physics to the study of scienc
e & technology (S&T) systems. Specifically, our research is motivated by tw
o concepts of fundamental importance in modern statistical physics: scaling
and universality. We try to identify robust, universal, characteristics of
the evolution of S&T systems that can provide guidance to forecasting the
impact of changes in funding. We quantify the production of research in a n
ovel fashion inspired by our previous study of the growth dynamics of busin
ess firms. We study the production of research from the point of view both
of inputs (R&D funding) and of outputs (publications and patents) and find
the existence of scaling laws describing the growth of these quantities. We
also analyze R&D systems of different countries to test the "universality"
of our results. We hypothesize that the proposed methods may be particular
ly useful for fields of S&T (or for levels of aggregation) for which either
not enough information is available, or for which evolution is so fast tha
t there is not enough time to collect enough data to make an informed decis
ion.