Seven studies were conducted to replicate the work of Miller, Turnbull
, and McFarland (1989), who tested predictions from norm theory (Kahne
man & Miller, 1986). The first three studies with stimulus materials i
dentical to those used by Miller et al. failed to confirm that the eas
e with which the event might be mentally simulated affected the degree
of suspiciousness. In Studies 4, 5, and 6, the improbable events were
made objectively more probable, but this did not produce significant
results. In the 7th study, the objective probability and attitude towa
rd the target were varied. Although there was a main effect for ease o
f mental simulation, this effect was produced by only 1 of the 3 vigne
ttes.