A performance constrained minimum power-area optimization is introduced to
project the physical gate oxide thickness (t(OX)) scaling limit from a circ
uit-level perspective, The circuit optimization is based on the recent phys
ical alpha-power law MOSFET model that enables predictions of CMOS circuit
performance for future generations of technology. The model is utilized to
derive an equation for propagation delay including the transition time effe
ct, A physical compact gate-tunneling current model is also derived to anal
yze ultrathin oxide layers. Results indicate that the gate-tunneling power
is substantially less (<5%) than the drain-to-source leakage power at the o
xide thickness required for optimum CMOS logic circuit performance. As tox
is scaled below 3.0 nm, the MOSFET performance improvement resulting from t
ox scaling diminishes due to an increasing effect of the polysilicon gate d
epletion depth on the electrical effective oxide thickness. The gate-tunnel
ing power, however, remains exponentially dependent on t(OX), thus resultin
g in an optimal value of t(OX) where the gate-tunneling power is negligible
in comparison to the drain-to-source leakage power. The scaling limit of t
(OX) is projected as 2.2, 1.9, and 1.4 nm for the 180, 150, and 100 nm tech
nology generations, respectively.