Context The World Food Programme estimated that 10 million people were at r
isk of starvation in Ethiopia in 2000 but later reported that a famine had
been averted. However, no population-based data on mortality or nutrition e
xisted for Gode district, at the epicenter of the famine in the Somali regi
on of Ethiopia.
Objectives To estimate mortality rates, determine the major causes of death
, and estimate the prevalence of malnutrition among children and adults for
the population of Gode district.
Design and Setting Two-stage cluster survey conducted from July 27 through
August 1, 2000, which included anthropometric measures and 8-month retrospe
ctive mortality data collection.
Participants A total of 595 households comprising 4032 people living in God
e district of Ethiopia.
Main Outcome Measures Crude mortality rates and mortality rates for childre
n younger than 5 years, causes of death, weight for height of less than -2
z scores among children aged 6 months to 5 years, and body mass index of le
ss than 18.5 kg/m(2) among adults and older persons.
Results Of the 595 households, 346 (58.2%) were displaced from their usual
places of residence. From December 1999 through July 2000, total of 293 dea
ths occurred in the sample population; 159 (54.3%) deaths were among childr
en younger than 5 years and 72 (24.6%) were among children aged 5 to 14 yea
rs. The crude mortality rate was 3.2/ 10000 per day (95% confidence interva
l [CI], 2.4-3.8/10000 per day), which is 3 times the cutoff used to define
an emergency. The mortality rate for children younger than 5 years was 6.8/
10000 per day (95% CI, 5.4-8.2/10000 per day). Approximately 77% of deaths
occurred before major relief interventions began in April/May 2000. Wasting
contributed to 72.3% of all deaths among children younger than 5 years. Me
asles alone or in combination with wasting accounted for 35 (22.0%) of 159
deaths among children younger than 5 years and for 12 (16.7%) of 72 deaths
among children aged 5 to 14 years. The prevalence rate for wasting (weight
for height of <-2 z score) among children aged 6 months to 5 years was 29.1
% (95% CI, 24.7%-33.4%). Using a method to adjust body mass index for body
shape, the prevalence of undernutrition (body mass index <18.5 kg/m(2)) amo
ng adults aged 18 to 59 years was 22.7% (95% CI, 17.9%-27.5%).
Conclusions To prevent unnecessary deaths, the humanitarian response to fam
ine needs to be rapid, well coordinated, and based on sound epidemiological
evidence. Public health interventions, such as mass measles vaccination ca
mpaigns with coverage extended to children aged 12 to 15 years should be im
plemented as the first priority. The prevalence of wasting and undernutriti
on among children and adults, respectively, should be assessed in all prolo
nged, severe famines.