Because endoscopists are concerned about misidentifying a gastric neop
lasm as a benign gastric ulceration (GU), routine endoscopic biopsy an
d documentation of GU healing has been recommended. With the decreasin
g incidence of gastric cancer in the United States, the increased use
of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, and the concern over medical
care costs, this practice standard has been questioned. To study the u
tility of endoscopic GU follow-up, we reviewed all cases of GU in the
Duke GI-Trac database over a 7-year period. We found 1,189 patients di
agnosed with GU who underwent 1,698 upper endoscopies. Of these, 130 p
atients underwent serial esophagogastroduodenoscopy until GU healing w
as documented. We identified 19 cases of gastric neoplasm. Endoscopic
impression correlated with histology as follows: positive predictive v
alue, 36%; negative predictive value, 99.3%; specificity, 90%; and sen
sitivity, 84%. Two of the three cases of GU in which the endoscopist's
impression was benign but histology revealed malignancy occurred in t
he setting of an acute gastrointestinal bleed. We conclude that more t
han 99% of the time an endoscopist's initial impression that a GU is b
enign is correct. Using the Medicare reimbursement scheme, approximate
ly $150,000 would be spent to detect one early gastric cancer. Our res
ults further question the utility of serial endoscopic evaluation of G
Us until healing.