Hindsight bias demonstrated in the prediction of a sporting event

The authors examined hindsight bias in the context of a sporting event (Sup er Bowl XXXIII) with individuals who had previous knowledge of the hindsigh t bias - 42 students who were currently enrolled in psychology classes that had previously covered hindsight bias. To control for extraneous variables , the authors analyzed how often the participants watched football, their g ender, and whom they predicted to win; they found no differences between ho w often the participants watched football and whom they predicted to win. T he hindsight bias existed for the prediction of the outcome for the Super B owl, and the participants with previous knowledge were not immune to its ef fect. Results are discussed in relation to attribution theory, the reconstr uctionist view, and response bias view.