Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment along the southeastern coast of Vietnam

On the basis of the analysis of geological, tectonic characteristics and ea rthquake manifestation features, a causative relation between geodynamic re gime and seismicity has been established for the southeastern coastal zone and continental shelf of Vietnam. The probabilistic methods have been used to evaluate ground shaking effects at Nha Trang city as well as for the ent ire study area. Short, intermediate and long term predictions of ground sha king (in the form of peak ground acceleration maps) show high risks in the coastal zone of central Vietnam and in the southeastern continental shelf o f the country.