Risk assessment is assuming an increasing role for identification of high-r
isk persons for intensive medical intervention to reduce risk for coronary
heart disease (CHD). Of particular importance is the need to identify those
persons with CHD risk equivalents who can be managed with the same intensi
ty as patients with established CHD. For example, the National Cholesterol
Education Program (NCEP) recently classified diabetes as a CHD risk equival
ent. The NCEP also recommended use of Framingham risk scoring in persons wi
th multiple (2+) risk factors to uncover others without diabetes who have C
HD risk equivalents. One limitation of Framingham risk scoring, however, is
that age becomes the dominant risk factor after age 50. Age is a surrogate
for coronary atherosclerotic plaque burden, which is the true risk factor.
However, for individuals, coronary plaque burden can vary greatly at any g
iven age. For this reason, if coronary plaque burden could be measured accu
rately with noninvasive techniques, the degree of plaque burden could be us
ed to replace age as a risk factor in Framingham scoring for risk predictio
n. This article describes a technique whereby such a replacement can be mad
e. (C) 2001 by Excerpts Medics, Inc.