The storage of bagasse, which is principally cellulose, presents many probl
ems for the sugar industry, one of which is bagasse loss due to spontaneous
combustion. This is an expensive problem for the industry as bagasse is us
ed as a fuel by sugar mills, and for cogeneration of electricity. Self-heat
ing occurs in the pile through an oxidation mechanism as well as a moisture
dependent reaction. The latter reaction is now known to exhibit a local ma
ximum, similar to the heat release curves found in cool-flame problems. Bag
asse typically contains 45-55% by weight of water when milling is completed
and the question of how to reduce the moisture content is important for tw
o reasons. Firstly, wet bagasse does not burn nearly as efficiently as dry
bagasse, and secondly, self-heating is greatly enhanced in the presence of
water, for temperatures less than 60-70 degreesC.
An existing mathematical model is used, but modified to take into account t
he newly observed peak in the moisture dependent reaction. Most of the prev
iously reported complex bifurcation behaviour possible in this model is not
realized when physically realistic parameter values are used. The bifurcat
ion diagram describing the long-time steady-state solution is the familiar
S-shaped hysteresis curve. In the presence of the new form of the moisture
dependent reaction, an intermediate state can be found which is not a true
steady-state of the system as, in reality, the characteristics of the pile
slowly change as water is lost. This state corresponds to observations of a
n elevated temperature (around 60-70 degreesC) which persists for long peri
ods of time. Approximate equations can then be defined which predict this i
ntermediate state, and hence a different hysteresis curve is found. A simpl
e explanation for the process by which water is lost from the pile is obtai
ned from these equations and an analytical expression is given for the expo
nential decay of water levels in the pile.