Aw. Robertson, Influence of ocean-atmosphere interaction on the arctic oscillation in twogeneral circulation models, J CLIMATE, 14(15), 2001, pp. 3240-3254
The influence of ocean-atmosphere interaction on the wintertime Arctic osci
llation (AO) is investigated using a hierarchy of experiments made with two
general circulation models (GCMs), ranging from climatologically forced at
mospheric to fully coupled ocean-atmosphere GCMs with increasing greenhouse
gas concentrations.
Both GCMs reproduce well the AO spatial pattern, defined by the leading hem
ispheric mode of monthly sea level pressure or daily 700-hPa geopotential h
eight, although the North Pacific pole is more pronounced as compared with
observations. Coupling is not found to influence this spatial pattern.
Power spectra are examined for evidence of ocean-atmosphere interaction in
the form of spectral reddening or significant spectral peaks. No measurable
influence is found. On interannual timescales, all the model AO spectra ar
e approximately "white,'' with no clear evidence of any statistically signi
ficant spectral peaks in the coupled experiments. Greenhouse gas-induced ch
anges in sea level pressure are found to project onto the AO in one of the
GCMs but not the other. On subseasonal timescales, the spectra are "red'' i
n all the model configurations, but ocean-atmosphere interaction is not fou
nd to amplify the redness. Significant spectral peaks are found in the 15-2
5-day period range, consistent with observed spectra.
Daily histograms of the simulated AO indices are found to be negatively ske
wed. A Gaussian mixture model is used to estimate the probability density f
unction of daily hemispheric height maps, and yields three circulation regi
mes in both the simulations and observed data. The uncoupled atmospheric GC
M simulations exhibit AO-like regimes that acquire stronger wavelike charac
teristics in the coupled runs.