Is declining productivity inevitable ?

Citation
Cj. Dalgaard et Ct. Kreiner, Is declining productivity inevitable ?, J ECON GROW, 6(3), 2001, pp. 187-203
Citations number
22
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH
ISSN journal
13814338 → ACNP
Volume
6
Issue
3
Year of publication
2001
Pages
187 - 203
Database
ISI
SICI code
1381-4338(200109)6:3<187:IDPI?>2.0.ZU;2-E
Abstract
Fertility has been declining on all continents for the last couple of decad es and this development is expected to continue in the future. Prevailing i nnovation-based growth theories imply, as a consequence of scale effects fr om the size of population, that such demographic changes will lead to a maj or slowdown in productivity growth. In this paper we challenge this pessimi stic view of the future. By allowing for endogenous human capital in a basi c R&D driven growth model we develop a theory of scale-invariant endogenous growth according to which population growth is neither necessary nor condu ctive for economic growth.