Da. Roshier et al., Distribution and persistence of temporary wetland habitats in arid Australia in relation to climate, AUSTRAL EC, 26(4), 2001, pp. 371-384
The distribution and area of temporary wetlands across the arid zone of Aus
tralia are highly variable. Any change in their distribution or extent due
to climate change and/or extraction of water has the potential to adversely
impact dependent biota. Satellite imagery was used to determine the spatia
l and temporal distribution of wetlands across arid Australia over an 11-ye
ar period. Synoptic climate data were examined to identify the weather syst
ems that caused wetland filling events. Simple threshold models relating ra
infall to wetland filling for seven large regions of Australia were develop
ed to examine patterns of wetland filling over the last 100 years. These da
ta were used to examine the climatic processes that drive wetland filling a
nd the likely impacts of climate change on wetland distribution. The strong
est climatic influence on wetland filling in the arid zone was tropical wea
ther systems. Their influence extended into southern regions and their effe
cts were often widespread. Variation in wetland area in all regions of the
arid zone was high. The Lake Eyre Basin experienced more large flood events
than other regions and had the most large, persistent wetlands that remain
unregulated by humans. Hindcasting of past filling events indicated that t
here was a general pattern of frequent wetland filling across inland Austra
lia in the 1910s, 1950s and 1970s, and less frequent wetland filling in the
late 1920s, 1930s and 1960s. Furthermore, there appeared to be no period g
reater than 12 months over the previous 95 years when there was no predicte
d wetland filling in the arid zone. Wetland ecosystems dependent on a few i
nfrequent heavy rainfalls are clearly vulnerable to any change in frequency
or magnitude of these events. Climate change that results in a drying or r
educed frequency of large flood events, exacerbated by extraction of water
for agriculture, could be catastrophic for some biota, particularly waterbi
rds, which use a mosaic of wetland habitat at broad spatial scales.