Ageing, optimal national saving and future living standards in Australia

Citation
Rs. Guest et Im. Mcdonald, Ageing, optimal national saving and future living standards in Australia, ECON REC, 77(237), 2001, pp. 117-134
Citations number
29
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
ECONOMIC RECORD
ISSN journal
00130249 → ACNP
Volume
77
Issue
237
Year of publication
2001
Pages
117 - 134
Database
ISI
SICI code
0013-0249(200106)77:237<117:AONSAF>2.0.ZU;2-4
Abstract
Making allowance for the ageing structure of the population, this paper cal culates the levels of optimal national saving and future living standards f or Australia for the period 1999-2050. For this period, the optimal saving response to the ageing of the Australian population is for national saving to increase from its current level by 2.7 per cent of GDP by the year 2017 and then to decline to the year 2050. The implied growth of living standard s is 1.20 per cent per year. Reduced immigration would reduce the rate of g rowth of living standards but reduced fertility would not.