We examined earnings forecast revisions and stock returns after release of
the Focus List of poorly performing companies by the Council of Institution
al Investors. Using Tobin's q as a measure of a company's ability to improv
e performance, we found significant and positive abnormal forecast revision
s and post-release stock returns for companies with q greater than 1. For c
ompanies with q less than 1, neither forecast revisions nor post-release st
ock returns were significantly different from zero. For the full sample of
companies on the Focus List, regression analysis showed a significant posit
ive relationship between forecast revisions and postrelease stock returns.
These findings support our proposition that institutional activism is effec
tive for underperforming companies-but only those companies with the abilit
y to respond to the challenge to improve performance.