The purpose of this paper is to examine the application of artificial neura
l networks (ANN) to an early warning system for commercial bank loan risk.
The aspects of knowledge acquisition, knowledge representation and knowledg
e-based reasoning process in the early warning system are discussed in the
paper. The paper demonstrates how to design a decision tool based on the BP
model and provides examples. The results show that this method offers a go
od tool for early warning. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserv
ed.