We infer baseline response to climate of the growth of trees in California
dendroclimatological samples, adopting linear and nonlinear approaches and
using the expected accumulated impact of a state change as one measure of p
ersistence. Many samples exhibit two quite distinct growth states. Timing o
f high and low growth states is highly heterogeneous across locations, and
regional aggregation seriously understates the size and persistence of loca
l growth changes. If climate is a dominant factor in local tree growth, the
n local climate is not well represented by an aggregate regional index.