ACCUMULATIVE AIR-TEMPERATURE AS A PREDICTING PARAMETER FOR DAILY AIRBORNE OLIVE POLLEN (OLEA-EUROPAEA L) DURING THE PREPEAK PERIOD IN MALAGA (WESTERN MEDITERRANEAN AREA)

Although olive pollen is one of the most widespread aeroallergens in t he Mediterranean area, very few studies present predictive models. We have already seen that in Malaga (Southern Spain) the meteorological v ariables which have the greatest influence on airborne pollen concentr ations during the pre-peak period are accumulated rainfall and mean te mperatures from the chilling requirement for flowers buds initiation. This work presents the simple and multiple linear regressions obtained by using daily pollen concentrations as a dependent variable and the daily values of the above mentioned meteorological parameters as indep endent variables. When establishing an overall predictive model, we ch ose the equation of the simple linear regression pollen-accumulated te mperatures obtained during 1992-94 (y=0.003x-3.863) since this provide d the greatest lineal fitting.