Purpose: This study was performed to determine whether early duplex fi
ndings predicted restenosis after carotid endarterectomy. Methods: One
hundred,ninety-two symptomatic patients who underwent carotid endarte
rectomy were studied with color duplex imaging at 1 day and 1 week aft
er surgery to identify minor residual disease (causing <50% stenosis),
arterial kinking, and suture stricture, and to measure the external a
nd luminal diameters of the carotid bulb and distal internal carotid a
rtery. Patients were then observed prospectively with duplex surveilla
nce for a median of 24 months to identify > 50% restenosis. Results: T
wenty-five stenoses > 50% of the operated carotid artery (13%) were id
entified, four at 1 day (residual) and 21 at a median follow-up of 6 m
onths (restenosis). On multiple logistic regression analysis, >50% res
tenosis was found to be associated with minor day-1 residual stenosis
(p = 0.01) and with small luminal diameter of the distal internal caro
tid artery (p = 0.03) as measured 1 week after carotid endarterectomy.
Life table analysis showed restenosis at 24 months to be more common
for patients with below-median than patients with above-median carotid
bulb external diameter (18% vs 5%, respectively; P = 0.01). Conclusio
ns: Duplex scanning within a week of carotid endarterectomy identifies
>50% residual stenosis, in addition to minor residual 25% to 50% sten
osis and small carotid dimensions, which are good predictors of >50% r
estenosis at 6 months.