S. Harbarth et al., Diagnostic value of procalcitonin, interleukin-6, and interleukin-8 in critically ill patients admitted with suspected sepsis, AM J R CRIT, 164(3), 2001, pp. 396-402
To assess the diagnostic value of procalcitonin (PCT), interleukin (IL)-6,
IL-8, and standard measurements in identifying critically ill patients with
sepsis, we performed prospective measurements in 78 consecutive patients a
dmitted with acute systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and suspe
cted infection. We estimated the relevance of the different parameters by u
sing multivariable regression modeling, likelihood-ratio tests, and area un
der the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC). The final diagnosis
was SIRS, in 18 patients, sepsis in 14, severe sepsis in 21, and septic sh
ock in 25. PCT yielded the highest discriminative value, with an AUC of 0.9
2 (CI, 0.85 to 1.0), followed by IL-6 (0.75; CI, 0.63 to 0.87), and IL-8 (0
.71; CI, 0.59 to 0.83; p < 0.001). At a cutoff of 1.1 ng/ml, PCT yielded a
sensitivity of 97% and a specificity of 78% to differentiate patients with
SIRS from those with sepsis-related conditions. Median PCT concentrations o
n admission (ng/ mi, range) were 0.6 (0 to 5.3) for SIRS; 3.5 (0.4 to 6.7)
for sepsis; 6.2 (2.2 to 85) for severe sepsis; and 21.3 (1.2 to 654) for se
ptic shock (p < 0.001). The addition of PCT to a model based solely on stan
dard indicators improved the predictive power of detecting sepsis (likeliho
od ratio test; p = 0.001) and increased the AUC value for the routine value
-based model from 0.77 (CI, 0.64 to 0.89) to 0.94 (CI, 0.89 to 0.99; p = 0.
002). In contrast, no additive effect was seen for IL-6 (p = 0.56) or IL-8
(p = 0. 14). Elevated PCT concentrations appear to be a promising indicator
of sepsis in newly admitted, critically ill patients capable of complement
ing clinical signs and routine laboratory parameters suggestive of severe i
nfection.