Emergent volatility in asset markets with heterogeneous agents

Authors
Citation
Hg. Li et Jb. Rosser, Emergent volatility in asset markets with heterogeneous agents, DISCR D N S, 6(3), 2001, pp. 171-180
Citations number
20
Categorie Soggetti
Multidisciplinary
Journal title
DISCRETE DYNAMICS IN NATURE AND SOCIETY
ISSN journal
10260226 → ACNP
Volume
6
Issue
3
Year of publication
2001
Pages
171 - 180
Database
ISI
SICI code
1026-0226(2001)6:3<171:EVIAMW>2.0.ZU;2-A
Abstract
This paper examines the emergence of complex volatility in dynamic asset ma rkets when there are heterogeneous agents. A discrete formulation is studie d with two categories of market participants, fundamentalist traders who bu y when the asset price is below the fundamental value and sell when it is a bove and noise traders who use moving average technical trading rules that can lead them to chase trends. Agents switch from one type of strategy to t he other according to relative returns. A variety of outcomes are studied u sing numerical simulation, including variation of market price responsivene ss to changes in excess demand, in switching behavior, and the introduction of noise. Bifurcation analysis of certain parameters is presented.