This paper analyses the financial pattern of the Mexican electricity sector
, its financial limits in both development and modernization of this strate
gic sector, and the main options for resolving this financing problem inclu
ding the proposals of the President Fox government. Our allocation of risks
and profitability analysis explain the present success in attracting priva
te investments to expand both generation and transmission capacity through
BLT and IPP projects. The financial limitation is nevertheless the low self
-financing of Federal Electricity Commission (CFE) that will make it very d
ifficult to obtain financing to fulfil BLT and IPP contract compromises and
to invest large sums in the expansion and modernization of the electricity
sector. The main options to resolve the financial problems of the Mexican
electricity sector are: (1) the improvement of the present financial patter
n, (2) the opening of generation and supply segments to private capital wit
h the preservation of the vertically integrated state-owned utilities, and
(3) the proposals of the President Fox economic transition team that consid
er the opening of generation and supply segments, the setting up of an inde
pendent state-owned company to operate both the electrical dispatching and
a power pool, and, finally, the transformation of CFE into a holding of sta
te-owned utilities of generation, distribution and transmission. (C) 2001 E
lsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.