Axonal damage probably occurs early in the evolution of MS. Five of 38 (13%
) patients had a positive assay for the neuronal 14-3-3 protein in the CSF
obtained at the first clinically isolated syndrome suggestive of MS. A posi
tive 14-3-3 assay was the only independent predictor for a shorter time to
conversion to clinical definite MS (risk ratio 4.1; 95%, CI 1.1 to 15) and
to reach an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) greater than or equal t
o 2 at the end of follow-up (odds ratio 14.8; 95% CI 2.86 to 76.8). The det
ection of the 14-3-3 protein in the CSF at the first neurologic event sugge
stive of MS may be a useful predictor of short-term evolution.