This study is aimed at evaluating which pre-operative findings at CT are pr
evailingly associated with histologically malignant appearance of mucinous
cystic tumor (MCT) of the pancreas. The CT examinations of 52 female patien
ts affected with pathologically proved MCT were retrospectively evaluated b
y two radiologists, blinded to the histopathological assessment of the biol
ogic behavior (either benign or malignant). A multivariate logistic regress
ion analysis was performed in order to identify the most important features
associated with the malignant nature of MCT Calcifications in the wall and
/or in the septa, thick wall, and septations resulted in the most important
features associated with malignancy. The simultaneous presence of all thes
e radiological signs constitutes an almost "certain" marker of malignancy,
being the risk equal to 0.95, whereas the simultaneous presence of at least
two of them entails a risk of malignancy ranging from 0.56 to 0.74, accord
ing to the type of morphological features. On the other hand, the absence o
f the mentioned radiological features entails a negligible risk of malignan
cy (0.02). Mucinous cystic tumors characterized by multilocular macrocystic
architecture, with thick wall and calcifications in the wall and/or the se
pta, present the highest risk of malignancy, and advocate prompt surgical i
ntervention. When those signs are absent, the probability of malignancy is
lower. In this case a non-operative management is possible.