It is unclear to what extent ballistic walking models can be used to qualit
atively predict the swing phase at comfortable walking speed. Different stu
dy findings regarding the accuracy of the predictions of the swing phase ki
nematics may have been caused by differences in (1) kinematic input, (2) mo
del characteristics (e.g. the number of segments), and (3) evaluation crite
ria. In the present study, the predictive validity of four ballistic swing
phase models was evaluated and compared, that is, (1) the ballistic walking
model as originally introduced by Mochon and McMahon, (2) an extended vers
ion of this model in which heel-off of the stance leg is added, (3) a doubl
e pendulum model, consisting of a two-segment swing leg with a prescribed h
ip trajectory, and (4) a shank pendulum model consisting of a shank and rig
idly attached foot with a prescribed knee trajectory. The predictive validi
ty was evaluated by comparing the outcome of the model simulations with exp
erimentally derived swing phase kinematics of six healthy subjects. In all
models, statistically significant differences were found between model outp
ut and experimental data. All models underestimated swing time and step len
gth. In addition, statistically significant differences were found between
the output of the different models. The present study shows that although q
ualitative similarities exist between the ballistic models and normal gait
at comfortable walking speed, these models cannot adequately predict swing
phase kinematics. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.