A. Abhyankar et D. Basu, Does conditioning information matter in estimating continuous time interest rate diffusions?, J FIN QU AN, 36(3), 2001, pp. 335-344
We examine an important aspect of empirical estimation of term structure mo
dels; the role of conditioning information in dynamic term structure models
. The use of both real world or simulated data implicitly incorporates cond
itioning information. We examine the bias created in estimating the drift b
y a specific form of conditioning, namely truncation. Using the theory of e
nlargement of filtrations we provide estimates of the extent of this trunca
tion bias for commonly used short rate models. We find that this truncation
bias causes the drift of these models to have a nonlinear structure.