What changes will WTO accession bring to China's industry? Will it cause la
rge state firms to be stronger or weaker, and if so, how? The paper applies
the market structure theory to develop a tool called the market-share test
ing principle to answer these questions and to analyze ownership evolution
in China's industry. Our main finding is that many large state firms will s
urvive, and their survival strategy will involve changing from being wholly
state-owned and state-controlled to diluted state ownership and reduced st
ate control. This partnership with the private sector will get them the fun
ding, technology, and improvements in corporate governance that will enable
them to grow. WTO membership will accelerate the emergence of a greatly di
versified ownership structure. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights re
served.