Retrospective demographic information and hospital record data were collect
ed for 337 patients resident in Spain who had validated Guillain-Barre synd
rome (GBS) diagnoses and clinical onset during the period 1985-1997 and had
been admitted to 11 centres, covering a population of 3.9 million. The Eur
opean age-adjusted GBS incidence per 100,000 for 1985-1997 among the popula
tion aged 20 and over was 0.85, with a breakdown of 1.14 in men and 0.58 in
women. Incidence increased with age and time, with occasional rises that m
imicked outbreaks and occurred at irregular 2- to 4-year intervals, mainly
in winter. Spatial variation was modest. Respiratory and gastrointestinal i
nfections respectively constituted 49.3 and 19.3% of recorded preceding eve
nts. The 97.5% intercentile limit, obtained from the 1985-1997 monthly inci
dences using predictions from a Poisson model, was proposed as the threshol
d value for pilot epidemiological surveillance of GBS in 1998-1999. Copyrig
ht (C) 2001 S. Karger AG, Basel.