We briefly review the evidence that the carcinogenic risk posed by inhaled
fibers depends principally on the lung burden of long fibers. We use a depo
sition clearance model to generate time-dependent lung burdens in rats of a
dozen long fibers for various exposure concentrations. Together with a pre
viously estimated potency factor for long fibers, we use the generated lung
burdens to estimate risks of lung cancer associated with inhaled fibers in
rats. Over a broad range of exposure concentrations, excess risk is a line
ar function of exposure concentration. Excess risk of lung cancer is also a
linear function of weighted half-life for fibers for which the weighted ha
lf-life is short compared to the life span of the rat. We propose an approa
ch to estimating human lung cancer risk associated with inhaled fibers from
animal studies.