PHAB scores: proportional hazards analysis behavioural scores

Citation
M. Stepanova et Lc. Thomas, PHAB scores: proportional hazards analysis behavioural scores, J OPER RES, 52(9), 2001, pp. 1007-1016
Citations number
8
Categorie Soggetti
Management,"Engineering Mathematics
Journal title
JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY
ISSN journal
01605682 → ACNP
Volume
52
Issue
9
Year of publication
2001
Pages
1007 - 1016
Database
ISI
SICI code
0160-5682(200109)52:9<1007:PSPHAB>2.0.ZU;2-B
Abstract
Credit scoring is one of the most widely used applications of quantitative analysis in business. Behavioural. scoring is a type of credit scoring that is performed on existing customers to assist lenders in decisions like inc reasing the balance or promoting new products. This paper shows how using s urvival analysis tools from reliability and maintenance modelling, specific ally Cox's proportional hazards regression, allows one to build behavioural scoring models. Their performance is compared with that of logistic regres sion. Also the advantages of using survival analysis techniques in building scorecards are illustrated by estimating the expected profit from personal loans. This cannot be done using the existing risk behavioural systems.