Objective: To determine possible differences in continuation among women in
itiating treatment with the selective estrogen receptor modulator raloxifen
e, versus those initiating treatment with estrogen-containing regimens.
Design: A pharmacy prescription database search for refill patterns. The st
udy subjects were members of Kaiser Foundation Health Plan, a large health
maintenance organization; 1,394 women age greater than or equal to 60 years
who filled index prescriptions for either raloxifene (n = 331) or systemic
estrogens (n = 1,063) between April 1998 and March 1999. The main outcome
measure was discontinuation based on prescription refill patterns through D
ecember 2000.
Results: At 24 months, the probabilities of discontinuing were 56% for wome
n starting raloxifene compared to 72% for women starting estrogens. The lik
elihood of discontinuation was significantly less among women starting ralo
xifene than among those starting estrogen (hazard ratio = 0.75; 95% confide
nce interval = 0.64-0.88). Adjustments for age and prescriber specialty did
not affect the risk.
Conclusions: We conclude that discontinuation of estrogen by women well bey
ond the age of menopause is high; more than two-thirds discontinue within 2
years of starting. Women starting therapy with raloxifene are 25% percent
less likely to discontinue their medication than those starting estrogen, p
roviding some promise that long-term benefits of raloxifene may be more eas
ily achieved than those of estrogen.