UK electricity companies are preparing for the introduction Of new standard
s of quality of supply by the Industry Regulator From April 2002 financial
penalties will be imposed relating to multiple interruptions. This article
reviews some of the statistical factors affecting the number of such interr
uptions. Circuit reliability analysis based on average fault rates is used
to estimate average customer interruptions. A simple statistical model is i
ntroduced to provide estimates of the probability of exceeding a specified
number of interruptions per annum. This is illustrated by reference to a gr
oup of HV circuits.