M. Meghraoui et al., Active normal faulting in the upper Rhine graben and paleoseismic identification of the 1356 Basel earthquake, SCIENCE, 293(5537), 2001, pp. 2070-2073
We have identified an active normal fault in the epicentral area of the Bas
el. (Switzerland) earthquake of 18 October 1356, the largest historical sei
smic event in central Europe. The event of 1356 and two prehistoric events
have been characterized on the fault with geomorphological analysis, geophy
sical prospecting, and trenching. Carbon-14 dating indicates that the young
est event occurred in the interval 610 to 1475 A.D. and may correspond to t
he 1356 Basel earthquake. The occurrence of the three earthquakes induced a
total of 1.8 meters of vertical displacement in the past 8500 years for a
mean uplift rate of 0.21 millimeters per year. These successive ruptures on
the normal fault indicate the potential for strong ground movements in the
Basel region and should be taken into account to refine the seismic hazard
estimates along the Rhine graben.